Fitch’s BMI Research warns for high economic risks in Albania
Risks to the Albanian economy are higher in relation to the average of the countries in the region.
According to BMI Research’s analysis, part of the Fitch Ratings agency, the risks to the Albanian economy are comparatively high, both in the short run and in the long run.
The BMI Research Risk Index is built on a scale from 0 to 100, where the lower the rating, the higher the risk.
Regarding the short-term economic risk, Albania is rated at 40.8, against a regional average of 53.1.
Albania leaves behind only Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Kosovo is also slightly better rated than Albania.
While, for long-term risks, Albania’s score is slightly higher, 48.2, but always below the 53.4 average in the region.
In fact, the report does not provide a detailed national analysis of Albania, unlike what happens to most other countries in the region.
Under these conditions, the arguments of the assessment are not very clear.
However, based on the study methodology and the analysis of other countries, the assessment takes into account the main macroeconomic and financial indicators and projections for the future.
The report also contains a special assessment in terms of political risk, where Albania has a more positive assessment in relation to the regional average levels, both in the short and long term.
Though the political risks undoubtedly have not been lacking in recent years, the BMI analysis estimates that in the future they will be more contained compared to countries that carry complicated political problems such as Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia or Kosovo.
SCAN
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